AMBP

AMBP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($4.85)
DCF$7.52+55.2%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 9.0%
DDM$8.24+69.9%
EV/EBITDA$4.86+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $307.25M
Rev: 12.6% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$7.52
Current Price$4.85
Upside / Downside+55.2%
Net Debt (used)$3.90B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term4.6%8.6%12.6%16.6%20.6%
7.0%$8.24$11.08$14.35$18.11$22.40
8.0%$5.44$7.70$10.31$13.30$16.71
9.0%$3.51$5.37$7.52$9.99$12.80
10.0%$2.09$3.68$5.49$7.57$9.94
11.0%$1.02$2.38$3.95$5.74$7.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.01
Yahoo: $-1.14

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$4.85
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$4.85
Implied Near-term FCF Growth9.0%
Historical Revenue Growth12.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$307.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$8.24
Current Price$4.85
Upside / Downside+69.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $725.00M
Current: 9.4×
Default: $3.90B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.86
Current Price$4.85
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$6.81B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.90B$2.90B$3.90B$4.90B$5.90B
5.4x$3.36$1.68$0.01$-1.66$-3.33
7.4x$5.78$4.11$2.44$0.76$-0.91
9.4x$8.21$6.54$4.86$3.19$1.52
11.4x$10.64$8.96$7.29$5.62$3.94
13.4x$13.06$11.39$9.72$8.04$6.37