AMC

AMC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.14)
DCF$-18.36-1710.7%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$1.16+1.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$114.83M
Rev: -1.4% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.36%
Computed WACC: 9.36%
Cost of equity (Re)15.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)11.26%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)6.91%
Debt weight (D/V)93.09%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-18.16
Current Price$1.14
Upside / Downside-1692.9%
Net Debt (used)$7.71B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-18.39$-19.17$-20.07$-21.12$-22.32
8.0%$-17.71$-18.34$-19.06$-19.90$-20.87
9.0%$-17.24$-17.76$-18.36$-19.06$-19.86
10.0%$-16.89$-17.33$-17.85$-18.44$-19.12
11.0%$-16.62$-17.01$-17.46$-17.97$-18.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.34
Yahoo: $-3.69

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$1.14
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.36%
Computed WACC: 9.36%
Cost of equity (Re)15.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)11.26%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)6.91%
Debt weight (D/V)93.09%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.14
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-1.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$114.83M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.14
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $341.90M
Current: 24.3×
Default: $7.71B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.16
Current Price$1.14
Upside / Downside+1.8%
Implied EV$8.32B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.71B$5.71B$7.71B$9.71B$11.71B
20.3x$6.13$2.35$-1.42$-5.20$-8.98
22.3x$7.42$3.65$-0.13$-3.91$-7.68
24.3x$8.71$4.94$1.16$-2.62$-6.39
26.3x$10.01$6.23$2.45$-1.33$-5.10
28.3x$11.30$7.52$3.74$-0.03$-3.81