AMG

AMG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($312.92)
DCF$77931.99+24804.8%
Graham Number$236.65-24.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 9.9%
DDM$0.82-99.7%
EV/EBITDA$357.28+14.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $450.22M
Rev: 6.2% / EPS: 122.1%
Computed: 8.14%
Computed WACC: 8.14%
Cost of equity (Re)10.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.52%
Debt weight (D/V)24.48%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$95191.37
Current Price$312.92
Upside / Downside+30320.4%
Net Debt (used)$2.18B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term114.1%118.1%122.1%126.1%130.1%
7.0%$107190.27$117575.04$128749.33$140757.35$153644.92
8.0%$82030.55$89976.00$98525.35$107712.38$117572.15
9.0%$64983.32$71276.12$78047.05$85322.85$93131.28
10.0%$52775.32$57884.72$63382.19$69289.45$75629.00
11.0%$43676.07$47903.51$52451.91$57339.24$62584.09

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $22.75
Yahoo: $109.41

Results

Graham Number$236.65
Current Price$312.92
Margin of Safety-24.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.14%
Computed WACC: 8.14%
Cost of equity (Re)10.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.18 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.52%
Debt weight (D/V)24.48%

Results

Current Price$312.92
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.4%
Historical Revenue Growth6.2%
Historical Earnings Growth122.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$450.22M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$0.82
Current Price$312.92
Upside / Downside-99.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $576.20M
Current: 20.3×
Default: $2.18B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$357.28
Current Price$312.92
Upside / Downside+14.2%
Implied EV$11.72B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$183.00M$1.18B$2.18B$3.18B$4.18B
16.3x$345.86$308.39$270.91$233.44$195.96
18.3x$389.05$351.57$314.10$276.62$239.15
20.3x$432.23$394.76$357.28$319.81$282.33
22.3x$475.42$437.94$400.47$363.00$325.52
24.3x$518.60$481.13$443.66$406.18$368.71