AMPL

AMPL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.51)
DCF$20.32+170.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -3.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $54.61M
Rev: 17.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 12.38%
Computed WACC: 12.38%
Cost of equity (Re)12.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.06%
Debt weight (D/V)0.94%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$13.26
Current Price$7.51
Upside / Downside+76.5%
Net Debt (used)-$182.43M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term9.0%13.0%17.0%21.0%25.0%
7.0%$21.68$25.39$29.65$34.52$40.05
8.0%$17.80$20.74$24.12$27.98$32.36
9.0%$15.12$17.54$20.32$23.48$27.08
10.0%$13.17$15.21$17.54$20.21$23.23
11.0%$11.68$13.44$15.44$17.72$20.31

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.80
Yahoo: $1.83

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$7.51
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.38%
Computed WACC: 12.38%
Cost of equity (Re)12.49%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.06%
Debt weight (D/V)0.94%

Results

Current Price$7.51
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.0%
Historical Revenue Growth17.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$54.61M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$7.51
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$92.56M
Current: -8.6×
Default: -$182.43M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.42
Current Price$7.51
Upside / Downside+25.5%
Implied EV$793.80M