AMT

AMT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($191.86)
DCF$102.87-46.4%
Graham Number$33.24-82.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.0%
DDM$140.08-27.0%
EV/EBITDA$205.33+7.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.51B
Rev: 7.5% / EPS: -33.2%
Computed: 6.19%
Computed WACC: 6.19%
Cost of equity (Re)9.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.91 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.64%
Debt weight (D/V)33.36%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$258.78
Current Price$191.86
Upside / Downside+34.9%
Net Debt (used)$43.49B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.5%3.5%7.5%11.5%15.5%
7.0%$107.69$147.61$193.91$247.36$308.75
8.0%$71.15$103.17$140.27$183.03$232.11
9.0%$45.86$72.44$103.19$138.60$179.19
10.0%$27.33$49.94$76.06$106.10$140.50
11.0%$13.17$32.76$55.36$81.32$111.01

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.27
Yahoo: $7.83

Results

Graham Number$33.24
Current Price$191.86
Margin of Safety-82.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.19%
Computed WACC: 6.19%
Cost of equity (Re)9.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.91 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.64%
Debt weight (D/V)33.36%

Results

Current Price$191.86
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.2%
Historical Revenue Growth7.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-33.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$4.51B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$140.08
Current Price$191.86
Upside / Downside-27.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.91B
Current: 20.2×
Default: $43.49B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$205.33
Current Price$191.86
Upside / Downside+7.0%
Implied EV$139.61B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$21.49B$32.49B$43.49B$54.49B$65.49B
16.2x$193.30$169.80$146.30$122.81$99.31
18.2x$222.81$199.31$175.81$152.32$128.82
20.2x$252.32$228.82$205.33$181.83$158.33
22.2x$281.83$258.33$234.84$211.34$187.84
24.2x$311.34$287.84$264.35$240.85$217.35