AMX

AMX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($25.90)
DCF$239731021.16+925602298.3%
Graham Number$3.52-86.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -14.1%
DDM$11.54-55.5%
EV/EBITDA$518.31+1901.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $129.57B
Rev: 3.4% / EPS: 400.1%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$239928799.11
Current Price$25.90
Upside / Downside+926365919.7%
Net Debt (used)$661.63B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term392.1%396.1%400.1%404.1%408.1%
7.0%$373806300.71$389247333.72$405194468.84$421660046.57$438656606.37
8.0%$282737481.05$294416628.61$306478575.53$318932655.71$331788353.57
9.0%$221343010.24$230486067.50$239928799.11$249678512.11$259742631.33
10.0%$177619691.10$184956622.10$192534028.44$200357773.63$208433815.78
11.0%$145224834.00$151223597.39$157418975.32$163815761.84$170418828.29

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.59
Yahoo: $0.35

Results

Graham Number$3.52
Current Price$25.90
Margin of Safety-86.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$25.90
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-14.1%
Historical Revenue Growth3.4%
Historical Earnings Growth400.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$129.57B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$25.90
Upside / Downside-55.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $372.21B
Current: 6.0×
Default: $661.63B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$518.31
Current Price$25.90
Upside / Downside+1901.2%
Implied EV$2.22T
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$331.63B$496.63B$661.63B$826.63B$991.63B
2.0x$133.49$78.70$23.91$-30.89$-85.68
4.0x$380.69$325.90$271.11$216.31$161.52
6.0x$627.89$573.10$518.31$463.51$408.72
8.0x$875.09$820.30$765.51$710.71$655.92
10.0x$1122.29$1067.50$1012.71$957.91$903.12