AN

AN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($193.04)
DCF$12.62-93.5%
Graham Number$159.73-17.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$193.02-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $604.23M
Rev: -3.9% / EPS: 1.3%
Computed: 6.23%
Computed WACC: 6.23%
Cost of equity (Re)8.86%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.58%
Debt weight (D/V)60.42%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$242.37
Current Price$193.04
Upside / Downside+25.6%
Net Debt (used)$10.17B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$15.24$77.58$150.09$234.02$330.69
8.0%$-39.60$10.57$68.85$136.21$213.70
9.0%$-77.61$-35.83$12.62$68.55$132.82
10.0%$-105.51$-69.87$-28.60$18.98$73.59
11.0%$-126.87$-95.91$-60.10$-18.87$28.38

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $17.05
Yahoo: $66.51

Results

Graham Number$159.73
Current Price$193.04
Margin of Safety-17.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.23%
Computed WACC: 6.23%
Cost of equity (Re)8.86%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.70%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)39.58%
Debt weight (D/V)60.42%

Results

Current Price$193.04
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.5%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.9%
Historical Earnings Growth1.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$604.23M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$193.04
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.59B
Current: 10.6×
Default: $10.17B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$193.02
Current Price$193.04
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$16.87B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$4.17B$7.17B$10.17B$13.17B$16.17B
6.6x$182.65$96.22$9.80$-76.63$-163.06
8.6x$274.27$187.84$101.41$14.98$-71.45
10.6x$365.88$279.45$193.02$106.60$20.17
12.6x$457.50$371.07$284.64$198.21$111.78
14.6x$549.11$462.68$376.25$289.83$203.40