ANF

ANF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($97.85)
DCF$119.47+22.1%
Graham Number$81.93-16.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.7%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$98.16+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $306.42M
Rev: 6.8% / EPS: -5.6%
Computed: 8.58%
Computed WACC: 8.58%
Cost of equity (Re)10.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.29%
Debt weight (D/V)19.71%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$128.76
Current Price$97.85
Upside / Downside+31.6%
Net Debt (used)$499.85M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.2%2.8%6.8%10.8%14.8%
7.0%$121.92$148.47$179.30$214.90$255.83
8.0%$97.89$119.21$143.92$172.44$205.18
9.0%$81.25$98.96$119.47$143.10$170.20
10.0%$69.05$84.13$101.56$121.62$144.61
11.0%$59.72$72.80$87.89$105.24$125.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.39
Yahoo: $28.72

Results

Graham Number$81.93
Current Price$97.85
Margin of Safety-16.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.58%
Computed WACC: 8.58%
Cost of equity (Re)10.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.16 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.29%
Debt weight (D/V)19.71%

Results

Current Price$97.85
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.6%
Historical Revenue Growth6.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-5.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$306.42M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$97.85
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $841.39M
Current: 5.9×
Default: $499.85M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$98.16
Current Price$97.85
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$5.00B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.50B-$500.15M$499.85M$1.50B$2.50B
1.9x$68.38$46.57$24.77$2.96$-18.85
3.9x$105.08$83.27$61.46$39.66$17.85
5.9x$141.77$119.97$98.16$76.35$54.55
7.9x$178.47$156.66$134.86$113.05$91.24
9.9x$215.16$193.36$171.55$149.74$127.94