AOD

AOD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($10.61)
DCF$-0.08-100.8%
Graham Number$18.84+77.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$24.72+133.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 17.7% / EPS: 96.4%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.08
Current Price$10.61
Upside / Downside-100.8%
Net Debt (used)$8.44M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term88.4%92.4%96.4%100.4%104.4%
7.0%$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08
8.0%$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08
9.0%$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08
10.0%$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08
11.0%$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08$-0.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.57
Yahoo: $10.05

Results

Graham Number$18.84
Current Price$10.61
Margin of Safety+77.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$10.61
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth17.7%
Historical Earnings Growth96.4%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$10.61
Upside / Downside+133.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $8.44M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-0.08
Current Price$10.61
Upside / Downside-100.8%
Implied EV$0