AON

AON — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($335.42)
DCF$118363.73+35188.7%
Graham Number$129.25-61.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.0%
DDM$61.39-81.7%
EV/EBITDA$338.33+0.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.06B
Rev: 3.7% / EPS: 138.3%
Computed: 7.24%
Computed WACC: 7.24%
Cost of equity (Re)8.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.77%
Debt weight (D/V)18.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$183250.73
Current Price$335.42
Upside / Downside+54534.0%
Net Debt (used)$13.45B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term130.3%134.3%138.3%142.3%146.3%
7.0%$165466.99$180333.43$196249.67$213270.35$231451.99
8.0%$126397.46$137751.49$149907.11$162906.06$176791.46
9.0%$99945.58$108921.67$118531.33$128807.53$139784.36
10.0%$81018.51$88293.22$96081.28$104409.41$113305.22
11.0%$66923.98$72931.80$79363.47$86241.03$93587.28

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $17.03
Yahoo: $43.60

Results

Graham Number$129.25
Current Price$335.42
Margin of Safety-61.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.24%
Computed WACC: 7.24%
Cost of equity (Re)8.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.77%
Debt weight (D/V)18.23%

Results

Current Price$335.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.3%
Historical Revenue Growth3.7%
Historical Earnings Growth138.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$3.06B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.98

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$61.39
Current Price$335.42
Upside / Downside-81.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.66B
Current: 15.2×
Default: $13.45B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$338.33
Current Price$335.42
Upside / Downside+0.9%
Implied EV$86.02B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.45B$10.45B$13.45B$16.45B$19.45B
11.2x$260.68$246.69$232.71$218.72$204.74
13.2x$313.49$299.51$285.52$271.53$257.55
15.2x$366.30$352.32$338.33$324.34$310.36
17.2x$419.11$405.13$391.14$377.16$363.17
19.2x$471.92$457.94$443.95$429.97$415.98