AOSL

AOSL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($21.58)
DCF$-229.70-1164.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$26.39+22.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$42.82M
Rev: 44.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 11.59%
Computed WACC: 11.59%
Cost of equity (Re)15.23%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.11%
Debt weight (D/V)23.89%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-147.25
Current Price$21.58
Upside / Downside-782.3%
Net Debt (used)-$851,008
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term36.9%40.9%44.9%48.9%52.9%
7.0%$-273.62$-315.23$-361.79$-413.73$-471.51
8.0%$-214.33$-246.77$-283.06$-323.53$-368.55
9.0%$-173.83$-200.02$-229.30$-261.95$-298.26
10.0%$-144.58$-166.25$-190.47$-217.48$-247.50
11.0%$-122.57$-140.84$-161.27$-184.03$-209.32

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-3.51
Yahoo: $27.68

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$21.58
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.59%
Computed WACC: 11.59%
Cost of equity (Re)15.23%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.11%
Debt weight (D/V)23.89%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$21.58
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth44.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$42.82M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$21.58
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $21.25M
Current: 36.9×
Default: -$851,008

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$26.39
Current Price$21.58
Upside / Downside+22.3%
Implied EV$784.51M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.00B-$1.00B-$851,008$999.15M$2.00B
32.9x$90.74$57.13$23.53$-10.07$-43.67
34.9x$92.16$58.56$24.96$-8.64$-42.24
36.9x$93.59$59.99$26.39$-7.21$-40.81
38.9x$95.02$61.42$27.82$-5.78$-39.39
40.9x$96.45$62.85$29.25$-4.36$-37.96