APO

APO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($106.45)
DCF$-6.69-106.3%
Graham Number$68.73-35.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$42.02-60.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 87.7% / EPS: -57.3%
Computed: 9.32%
Computed WACC: 9.32%
Cost of equity (Re)12.90%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.16%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.37%
Debt weight (D/V)40.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-6.69
Current Price$106.45
Upside / Downside-106.3%
Net Debt (used)$3.87B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term79.7%83.7%87.7%91.7%95.7%
7.0%$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69
8.0%$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69
9.0%$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69
10.0%$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69
11.0%$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69$-6.69

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.54
Yahoo: $37.90

Results

Graham Number$68.73
Current Price$106.45
Margin of Safety-35.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.32%
Computed WACC: 9.32%
Cost of equity (Re)12.90%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.56 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.16%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.37%
Debt weight (D/V)40.63%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$106.45
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth87.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-57.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$42.02
Current Price$106.45
Upside / Downside-60.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $3.87B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-6.69
Current Price$106.45
Upside / Downside-106.3%
Implied EV$0