APPF

APPF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($180.60)
DCF$378.67+109.7%
Graham Number$36.28-79.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$267.10+47.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $193.78M
Rev: 21.9% / EPS: -60.6%
Computed: 8.33%
Computed WACC: 8.33%
Cost of equity (Re)8.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.42%
Debt weight (D/V)0.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$427.40
Current Price$180.60
Upside / Downside+136.7%
Net Debt (used)-$213.06M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.9%17.9%21.9%25.9%29.9%
7.0%$414.15$486.98$570.15$664.73$771.85
8.0%$332.93$390.53$456.26$530.95$615.52
9.0%$277.11$324.27$378.03$439.10$508.18
10.0%$236.51$276.08$321.17$372.34$430.20
11.0%$205.73$239.56$278.08$321.78$371.15

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.88
Yahoo: $15.08

Results

Graham Number$36.28
Current Price$180.60
Margin of Safety-79.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.33%
Computed WACC: 8.33%
Cost of equity (Re)8.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.42%
Debt weight (D/V)0.58%

Results

Current Price$180.60
Implied Near-term FCF Growth6.6%
Historical Revenue Growth21.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-60.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$193.78M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$180.60
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $167.37M
Current: 37.6×
Default: -$213.06M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$267.10
Current Price$180.60
Upside / Downside+47.9%
Implied EV$6.29B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.21B-$1.21B-$213.06M$786.94M$1.79B
33.6x$321.77$280.68$239.59$198.49$157.40
35.6x$335.53$294.43$253.34$212.25$171.15
37.6x$349.28$308.19$267.10$226.00$184.91
39.6x$363.04$321.95$280.85$239.76$198.66
41.6x$376.79$335.70$294.61$253.51$212.42