AR

AR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($37.08)
DCF$-11.54-131.1%
Graham Number$33.43-9.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$54.47+46.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$467,250
Rev: 11.1% / EPS: 29.9%
Computed: 5.48%
Computed WACC: 5.48%
Cost of equity (Re)7.17%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.44%
Debt weight (D/V)23.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-11.70
Current Price$37.08
Upside / Downside-131.6%
Net Debt (used)$3.53B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term21.9%25.9%29.9%33.9%37.9%
7.0%$-11.55$-11.58$-11.60$-11.63$-11.66
8.0%$-11.53$-11.55$-11.56$-11.58$-11.61
9.0%$-11.51$-11.52$-11.54$-11.56$-11.58
10.0%$-11.50$-11.51$-11.52$-11.54$-11.55
11.0%$-11.49$-11.50$-11.51$-11.52$-11.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.03
Yahoo: $24.48

Results

Graham Number$33.43
Current Price$37.08
Margin of Safety-9.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.48%
Computed WACC: 5.48%
Cost of equity (Re)7.17%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.44%
Debt weight (D/V)23.56%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$37.08
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth11.1%
Historical Earnings Growth29.9%
Base FCF (TTM)-$467,250
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$37.08
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.69B
Current: —×
Default: $3.53B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$54.47
Current Price$37.08
Upside / Downside+46.9%
Implied EV$20.33B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.53B$2.53B$3.53B$4.53B$5.53B
8.0x$38.99$35.74$32.50$29.26$26.02
10.0x$49.97$46.73$43.49$40.25$37.00
12.0x$60.95$57.71$54.47$51.23$47.99
14.0x$71.94$68.69$65.45$62.21$58.97
16.0x$82.92$79.68$76.44$73.20$69.95