ARCO

ARCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($8.83)
DCF$695056.34+7871432.7%
Graham Number$9.65+9.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.7%
DDM$4.94-44.0%
EV/EBITDA$14.25+61.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $67.96M
Rev: 5.2% / EPS: 327.2%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$695056.34
Current Price$8.83
Upside / Downside+7871432.7%
Net Debt (used)$1.81B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term319.2%323.2%327.2%331.2%335.2%
7.0%$1065414.64$1117223.38$1171028.25$1226886.40$1284856.04
8.0%$806807.62$846040.58$886785.13$929084.54$972982.90
9.0%$632370.95$663121.27$695056.34$728210.08$762617.04
10.0%$508067.78$532773.40$558430.87$585067.45$612710.87
11.0%$415911.43$436135.62$457139.00$478943.87$501572.94

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.17
Yahoo: $3.54

Results

Graham Number$9.65
Current Price$8.83
Margin of Safety+9.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$8.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.7%
Historical Revenue Growth5.2%
Historical Earnings Growth327.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$67.96M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.94
Current Price$8.83
Upside / Downside-44.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $547.30M
Current: 6.7×
Default: $1.81B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.25
Current Price$8.83
Upside / Downside+61.3%
Implied EV$3.67B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.81B$1.81B$1.81B$1.81B$1.81B
2.7x$-2.51$-2.51$-2.51$-2.51$-2.51
4.7x$5.87$5.87$5.87$5.87$5.87
6.7x$14.25$14.25$14.25$14.25$14.25
8.7x$22.62$22.62$22.62$22.62$22.62
10.7x$31.00$31.00$31.00$31.00$31.00