AREB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($0.15)
DCF	$-19.43	-13316.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$14.00M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -19.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 0.82%

Computed WACC: 0.82%

Cost of equity (Re)9.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.03 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)8.25%

Debt weight (D/V)91.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$0.15

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)$21.79M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-19.58	$-23.22	$-27.46	$-32.36	$-38.00
8.0%	$-16.38	$-19.31	$-22.71	$-26.65	$-31.17
9.0%	$-14.16	$-16.60	$-19.43	$-22.69	$-26.45
10.0%	$-12.53	$-14.61	$-17.02	$-19.80	$-22.99
11.0%	$-11.28	$-13.09	$-15.18	$-17.59	$-20.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1373.71

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $127.69

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$0.15

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 0.82%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 0.82%

Cost of equity (Re)9.99%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.03 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)8.25%

Debt weight (D/V)91.75%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$0.15

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-19.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$14.00M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$0.15

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$15.56M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -1.4×

Net Debt($B)Default: $21.79M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.00

Current Price$0.15

Upside / Downside-98.0%

Implied EV$21.83M

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