ARKR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($6.73)
DCF	$-25.82	-483.7%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$6.57	-2.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$1.06M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -9.4% / EPS: -71.7%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 1.37%

Computed WACC: 1.37%

Cost of equity (Re)6.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.33 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)22.51%

Debt weight (D/V)77.49%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$6.73

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)$74.42M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-25.87	$-26.92	$-28.15	$-29.58	$-31.22
8.0%	$-24.93	$-25.79	$-26.77	$-27.92	$-29.23
9.0%	$-24.29	$-25.00	$-25.82	$-26.77	$-27.86
10.0%	$-23.82	$-24.42	$-25.12	$-25.93	$-26.85
11.0%	$-23.45	$-23.98	$-24.59	$-25.29	$-26.09

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-3.81

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $9.33

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$6.73

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 1.37%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 1.37%

Cost of equity (Re)6.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.33 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)22.51%

Debt weight (D/V)77.49%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$6.73

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-9.4%

Historical Earnings Growth-71.7%

Base FCF (TTM)-$1.06M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$6.73

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $2.13M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 46.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: $74.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.57

Current Price$6.73

Upside / Downside-2.3%

Implied EV$98.13M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.93B	-$925.58M	$74.42M	$1.07B	$2.07B
42.0x	$558.82	$281.51	$4.21	$-273.09	$-550.40
44.0x	$560.00	$282.70	$5.39	$-271.91	$-549.21
46.0x	$561.18	$283.88	$6.57	$-270.73	$-548.03
48.0x	$562.36	$285.06	$7.76	$-269.55	$-546.85
50.0x	$563.55	$286.24	$8.94	$-268.36	$-545.67

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