AROC

AROC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($36.78)
DCF$109.15+196.8%
Graham Number$17.02-53.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 74.8%
DDM$17.10-53.5%
EV/EBITDA$36.69-0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.27M
Rev: 15.5% / EPS: 95.4%
Computed: 6.77%
Computed WACC: 6.77%
Cost of equity (Re)9.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.91 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.67%
Debt weight (D/V)27.33%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$201.08
Current Price$36.78
Upside / Downside+446.7%
Net Debt (used)$2.42B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term87.4%91.4%95.4%99.4%103.4%
7.0%$149.37$167.48$187.17$208.53$231.68
8.0%$111.65$125.57$140.69$157.10$174.88
9.0%$86.06$97.12$109.15$122.20$136.33
10.0%$67.69$76.71$86.52$97.15$108.68
11.0%$53.98$61.47$69.62$78.45$88.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.51
Yahoo: $8.53

Results

Graham Number$17.02
Current Price$36.78
Margin of Safety-53.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.77%
Computed WACC: 6.77%
Cost of equity (Re)9.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.91 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.67%
Debt weight (D/V)27.33%

Results

Current Price$36.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth63.1%
Historical Revenue Growth15.5%
Historical Earnings Growth95.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$13.27M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.83

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$17.10
Current Price$36.78
Upside / Downside-53.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $832.59M
Current: 10.6×
Default: $2.42B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$36.69
Current Price$36.78
Upside / Downside-0.2%
Implied EV$8.86B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$423.87M$1.42B$2.42B$3.42B$4.42B
6.6x$29.11$23.40$17.70$12.00$6.30
8.6x$38.60$32.90$27.20$21.50$15.79
10.6x$48.10$42.40$36.69$30.99$25.29
12.6x$57.59$51.89$46.19$40.49$34.78
14.6x$67.09$61.39$55.68$49.98$44.28