ARTNA

ARTNA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($33.78)
DCF$-46.99-239.1%
Graham Number$34.40+1.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$25.54-24.4%
EV/EBITDA$36.94+9.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$15.16M
Rev: 4.6% / EPS: 2.3%
Computed: 5.46%
Computed WACC: 5.46%
Cost of equity (Re)6.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.89%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.28%
Debt weight (D/V)33.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-81.17
Current Price$33.78
Upside / Downside-340.3%
Net Debt (used)$176.93M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-47.23$-52.99$-59.69$-67.44$-76.37
8.0%$-42.16$-46.80$-52.18$-58.40$-65.56
9.0%$-38.65$-42.51$-46.99$-52.15$-58.09
10.0%$-36.08$-39.37$-43.18$-47.58$-52.62
11.0%$-34.10$-36.96$-40.27$-44.08$-48.44

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.18
Yahoo: $24.13

Results

Graham Number$34.40
Current Price$33.78
Margin of Safety+1.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.46%
Computed WACC: 5.46%
Cost of equity (Re)6.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.89%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.28%
Debt weight (D/V)33.72%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$33.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth4.6%
Historical Earnings Growth2.3%
Base FCF (TTM)-$15.16M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$25.54
Current Price$33.78
Upside / Downside-24.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $49.20M
Current: 10.7×
Default: $176.93M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$36.94
Current Price$33.78
Upside / Downside+9.3%
Implied EV$525.29M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.82B-$823.07M$176.93M$1.18B$2.18B
6.7x$228.12$122.09$16.07$-89.96$-195.98
8.7x$238.55$132.53$26.50$-79.52$-185.55
10.7x$248.99$142.96$36.94$-69.09$-175.12
12.7x$259.42$153.39$47.37$-58.66$-164.68
14.7x$269.85$163.83$57.80$-48.22$-154.25