ARVN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($13.28)
DCF	$-13.80	-203.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$89.01M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -84.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 14.81%

Computed WACC: 14.81%

Cost of equity (Re)14.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.94 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.10%

Debt weight (D/V)0.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-2.19

Current Price$13.28

Upside / Downside-116.5%

Net Debt (used)-$676.50M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-14.01	$-18.97	$-24.74	$-31.43	$-39.12
8.0%	$-9.64	$-13.64	$-18.28	$-23.64	$-29.81
9.0%	$-6.62	$-9.94	$-13.80	$-18.25	$-23.37
10.0%	$-4.39	$-7.23	$-10.52	$-14.31	$-18.65
11.0%	$-2.69	$-5.16	$-8.01	$-11.29	$-15.05

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.81

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $6.83

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$13.28

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 14.81%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 14.81%

Cost of equity (Re)14.95%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.94 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.10%

Debt weight (D/V)0.90%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$13.28

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-84.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$89.01M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$13.28

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$111.90M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -1.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$676.50M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.34

Current Price$13.28

Upside / Downside+0.5%

Implied EV$179.94M

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