ARW

ARW — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($149.96)
DCF$-3298.26-2299.4%
Graham Number$178.07+18.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$151.40+1.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$82.66M
Rev: 20.1% / EPS: 100.5%
Computed: 6.82%
Computed WACC: 6.82%
Cost of equity (Re)9.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.76%
Debt weight (D/V)30.24%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5639.67
Current Price$149.96
Upside / Downside-3860.8%
Net Debt (used)$3.04B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term92.5%96.5%100.5%104.5%108.5%
7.0%$-4382.20$-4848.95$-5355.23$-5903.47$-6496.26
8.0%$-3379.91$-3738.14$-4126.70$-4547.45$-5002.36
9.0%$-2699.90$-2984.53$-3293.22$-3627.48$-3988.87
10.0%$-2212.22$-2444.06$-2695.50$-2967.74$-3262.07
11.0%$-1848.16$-2040.60$-2249.29$-2475.25$-2719.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.93
Yahoo: $128.94

Results

Graham Number$178.07
Current Price$149.96
Margin of Safety+18.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.82%
Computed WACC: 6.82%
Cost of equity (Re)9.77%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.99 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.76%
Debt weight (D/V)30.24%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$149.96
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth20.1%
Historical Earnings Growth100.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$82.66M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$149.96
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.06B
Current: 10.2×
Default: $3.04B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$151.40
Current Price$149.96
Upside / Downside+1.0%
Implied EV$10.78B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.04B$2.04B$3.04B$4.04B$5.04B
6.2x$107.87$88.29$68.72$49.14$29.57
8.2x$149.21$129.63$110.06$90.48$70.91
10.2x$190.55$170.97$151.40$131.83$112.25
12.2x$231.89$212.32$192.74$173.17$153.59
14.2x$273.23$253.66$234.08$214.51$194.93