ASO

ASO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($60.84)
DCF$-9.47-115.6%
Graham Number$62.77+3.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 47.0%
DDM$10.71-82.4%
EV/EBITDA$60.84+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $31.79M
Rev: 3.0% / EPS: 14.1%
Computed: 7.51%
Computed WACC: 7.51%
Cost of equity (Re)10.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.46%
Debt weight (D/V)31.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4.84
Current Price$60.84
Upside / Downside-108.0%
Net Debt (used)$1.58B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.1%10.1%14.1%18.1%22.1%
7.0%$-8.67$-5.81$-2.52$1.24$5.54
8.0%$-11.54$-9.27$-6.65$-3.66$-0.24
9.0%$-13.53$-11.65$-9.50$-7.03$-4.23
10.0%$-14.97$-13.39$-11.57$-9.49$-7.13
11.0%$-16.08$-14.71$-13.15$-11.37$-9.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.44
Yahoo: $32.19

Results

Graham Number$62.77
Current Price$60.84
Margin of Safety+3.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.51%
Computed WACC: 7.51%
Cost of equity (Re)10.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.21 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.46%
Debt weight (D/V)31.54%

Results

Current Price$60.84
Implied Near-term FCF Growth40.7%
Historical Revenue Growth3.0%
Historical Earnings Growth14.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$31.79M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.52

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.71
Current Price$60.84
Upside / Downside-82.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $612.67M
Current: 9.2×
Default: $1.58B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$60.84
Current Price$60.84
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$5.64B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.58B$1.58B$1.58B$1.58B$1.58B
5.2x$24.09$24.09$24.09$24.09$24.09
7.2x$42.47$42.47$42.47$42.47$42.47
9.2x$60.84$60.84$60.84$60.84$60.84
11.2x$79.22$79.22$79.22$79.22$79.22
13.2x$97.59$97.59$97.59$97.59$97.59