ASRV

ASRV — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.82)
DCF$-3.78-199.0%
Graham Number$7.43+94.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM$2.47-35.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 12.7% / EPS: 74.8%
Computed: 3.22%
Computed WACC: 3.22%
Cost of equity (Re)6.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.57%
Debt weight (D/V)52.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-3.78
Current Price$3.82
Upside / Downside-199.0%
Net Debt (used)$64.13M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term66.8%70.8%74.8%78.8%82.8%
7.0%$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78
8.0%$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78
9.0%$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78
10.0%$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78
11.0%$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78$-3.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.34
Yahoo: $7.22

Results

Graham Number$7.43
Current Price$3.82
Margin of Safety+94.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.22%
Computed WACC: 3.22%
Cost of equity (Re)6.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.45 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.57%
Debt weight (D/V)52.43%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.82
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth12.7%
Historical Earnings Growth74.8%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.47
Current Price$3.82
Upside / Downside-35.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $64.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-3.78
Current Price$3.82
Upside / Downside-199.0%
Implied EV$0