ATEC

ATEC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($13.47)
DCF$13.21-2.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.7%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$13.88+3.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $56.15M
Rev: 20.4% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.05%
Computed WACC: 9.05%
Cost of equity (Re)9.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.04%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.05%
Debt weight (D/V)22.95%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$13.06
Current Price$13.47
Upside / Downside-3.0%
Net Debt (used)$435.29M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term12.4%16.4%20.4%24.4%28.4%
7.0%$14.67$17.87$21.52$25.69$30.41
8.0%$11.17$13.70$16.59$19.89$23.62
9.0%$8.76$10.84$13.21$15.90$18.95
10.0%$7.01$8.75$10.74$13.00$15.56
11.0%$5.68$7.17$8.87$10.81$12.99

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-1.03
Yahoo: $0.08

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$13.47
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.05%
Computed WACC: 9.05%
Cost of equity (Re)9.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.04%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)77.05%
Debt weight (D/V)22.95%

Results

Current Price$13.47
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.8%
Historical Revenue Growth20.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$56.15M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$13.47
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $19.53M
Current: 127.9×
Default: $435.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.88
Current Price$13.47
Upside / Downside+3.1%
Implied EV$2.50B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.56B-$564.71M$435.29M$1.44B$2.44B
123.9x$26.82$20.09$13.36$6.63$-0.11
125.9x$27.08$20.35$13.62$6.89$0.16
127.9x$27.35$20.62$13.88$7.15$0.42
129.9x$27.61$20.88$14.15$7.41$0.68
131.9x$27.87$21.14$14.41$7.68$0.95