ATGE

ATGE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($98.54)
DCF$218.80+122.0%
Graham Number$77.96-20.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 0.4%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$99.59+1.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $304.27M
Rev: 12.4% / EPS: 4.7%
Computed: 7.98%
Computed WACC: 7.98%
Cost of equity (Re)8.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.71%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.07%
Debt weight (D/V)16.93%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$267.05
Current Price$98.54
Upside / Downside+171.0%
Net Debt (used)$673.27M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term4.4%8.4%12.4%16.4%20.4%
7.0%$230.64$278.77$334.30$398.04$470.89
8.0%$183.27$221.68$265.93$316.68$374.64
9.0%$150.59$182.30$218.80$260.62$308.33
10.0%$126.71$153.54$184.39$219.71$259.97
11.0%$108.52$131.65$158.22$188.60$223.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.79
Yahoo: $39.79

Results

Graham Number$77.96
Current Price$98.54
Margin of Safety-20.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.98%
Computed WACC: 7.98%
Cost of equity (Re)8.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.71%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.07%
Debt weight (D/V)16.93%

Results

Current Price$98.54
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-2.3%
Historical Revenue Growth12.4%
Historical Earnings Growth4.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$304.27M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$98.54
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $428.91M
Current: 9.6×
Default: $673.27M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$99.59
Current Price$98.54
Upside / Downside+1.1%
Implied EV$4.11B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.33B-$326.73M$673.27M$1.67B$2.67B
5.6x$107.83$78.85$49.87$20.89$-8.09
7.6x$132.68$103.71$74.73$45.75$16.77
9.6x$157.54$128.56$99.59$70.61$41.63
11.6x$182.40$153.42$124.44$95.46$66.49
13.6x$207.26$178.28$149.30$120.32$91.34