ATH-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($24.25)
DCF	$89.56	+269.4%
Graham Number	$4242.78	+17399.5%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$32.75	+35.1%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 115.1% / EPS: -49.7%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.32%

Computed WACC: 7.32%

Cost of equity (Re)14.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.92 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)49.20%

Debt weight (D/V)50.80%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$89.56

Current Price$24.25

Upside / Downside+269.4%

Net Debt (used)-$17.89B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	107.1%	111.1%	115.1%	119.1%	123.1%
7.0%	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56
8.0%	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56
9.0%	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56
10.0%	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56
11.0%	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56	$89.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $7.96

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $100547.09

Results

Graham Number$4242.78

Current Price$24.25

Margin of Safety+17399.5%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.32%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.32%

Cost of equity (Re)14.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.92 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)49.20%

Debt weight (D/V)50.80%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$24.25

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth115.1%

Historical Earnings Growth-49.7%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.59

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.75

Current Price$24.25

Upside / Downside+35.1%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$17.89B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$89.56

Current Price$24.25

Upside / Downside+269.4%

Implied EV$0

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