ATI

ATI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($166.42)
DCF$8.06-95.2%
Graham Number$29.18-82.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 45.9%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$167.24+0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $143.86M
Rev: 0.4% / EPS: -26.5%
Computed: 9.20%
Computed WACC: 9.20%
Cost of equity (Re)9.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.54%
Debt weight (D/V)7.46%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$7.51
Current Price$166.42
Upside / Downside-95.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.42B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$8.22$11.98$16.36$21.42$27.26
8.0%$4.91$7.94$11.46$15.52$20.20
9.0%$2.62$5.14$8.06$11.44$15.32
10.0%$0.93$3.08$5.57$8.45$11.74
11.0%$-0.36$1.51$3.67$6.16$9.01

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.85
Yahoo: $13.28

Results

Graham Number$29.18
Current Price$166.42
Margin of Safety-82.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.20%
Computed WACC: 9.20%
Cost of equity (Re)9.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.45%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.54%
Debt weight (D/V)7.46%

Results

Current Price$166.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth46.7%
Historical Revenue Growth0.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-26.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$143.86M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$166.42
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $811.60M
Current: 30.0×
Default: $1.42B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$167.24
Current Price$166.42
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$24.32B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.42B$1.42B$1.42B$1.42B$1.42B
26.0x$143.53$143.53$143.53$143.53$143.53
28.0x$155.39$155.39$155.39$155.39$155.39
30.0x$167.24$167.24$167.24$167.24$167.24
32.0x$179.09$179.09$179.09$179.09$179.09
34.0x$190.95$190.95$190.95$190.95$190.95