ATNI

ATNI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.26)
DCF$17.89-38.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.1%
DDM$22.04-24.7%
EV/EBITDA$41.53+41.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $50.02M
Rev: 2.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.77%
Computed WACC: 2.77%
Cost of equity (Re)7.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)38.54%
Debt weight (D/V)61.46%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1363.36
Current Price$29.26
Upside / Downside+4559.5%
Net Debt (used)$605.23M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$18.38$30.12$43.78$59.58$77.79
8.0%$8.05$17.50$28.47$41.16$55.75
9.0%$0.89$8.76$17.89$28.42$40.52
10.0%$-4.36$2.35$10.12$19.08$29.37
11.0%$-8.38$-2.55$4.19$11.95$20.85

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.92
Yahoo: $30.21

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$29.26
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.77%
Computed WACC: 2.77%
Cost of equity (Re)7.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.53 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)38.54%
Debt weight (D/V)61.46%

Results

Current Price$29.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth2.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$50.02M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.07

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$22.04
Current Price$29.26
Upside / Downside-24.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $177.94M
Current: 7.0×
Default: $605.23M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.53
Current Price$29.26
Upside / Downside+41.9%
Implied EV$1.24B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.39B-$394.77M$605.23M$1.61B$2.61B
3.0x$125.96$60.42$-5.12$-70.67$-136.21
5.0x$149.29$83.74$18.20$-47.34$-112.88
7.0x$172.61$107.07$41.53$-24.01$-89.56
9.0x$195.94$130.40$64.85$-0.69$-66.23
11.0x$219.26$153.72$88.18$22.64$-42.91