ATR

ATR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($142.79)
DCF$74.41-47.9%
Graham Number$74.21-48.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.3%
DDM$38.32-73.2%
EV/EBITDA$144.40+1.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $205.90M
Rev: 13.5% / EPS: -23.5%
Computed: 5.98%
Computed WACC: 5.98%
Cost of equity (Re)6.97%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.82%
Debt weight (D/V)14.18%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$163.02
Current Price$142.79
Upside / Downside+14.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.14B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term5.5%9.5%13.5%17.5%21.5%
7.0%$79.71$98.31$119.73$144.31$172.36
8.0%$61.11$75.93$92.99$112.54$134.83
9.0%$48.29$60.51$74.57$90.65$108.99
10.0%$38.93$49.26$61.13$74.70$90.15
11.0%$31.80$40.70$50.90$62.57$75.84

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.89
Yahoo: $41.56

Results

Graham Number$74.21
Current Price$142.79
Margin of Safety-48.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.98%
Computed WACC: 5.98%
Cost of equity (Re)6.97%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.48 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)85.82%
Debt weight (D/V)14.18%

Results

Current Price$142.79
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.6%
Historical Revenue Growth13.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-23.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$205.90M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.86

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$38.32
Current Price$142.79
Upside / Downside-73.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $803.58M
Current: 13.0×
Default: $1.14B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$144.40
Current Price$142.79
Upside / Downside+1.1%
Implied EV$10.44B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.14B$1.14B$1.14B$1.14B$1.14B
9.0x$94.47$94.47$94.47$94.47$94.47
11.0x$119.43$119.43$119.43$119.43$119.43
13.0x$144.40$144.40$144.40$144.40$144.40
15.0x$169.36$169.36$169.36$169.36$169.36
17.0x$194.32$194.32$194.32$194.32$194.32