ATYR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($0.96)
DCF	$-5.41	-664.1%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$34.65M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.60%

Computed WACC: 6.60%

Cost of equity (Re)7.47%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.58 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)88.39%

Debt weight (D/V)11.61%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9.09

Current Price$0.96

Upside / Downside-1047.3%

Net Debt (used)-$77.84M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-5.47	$-6.73	$-8.21	$-9.91	$-11.88
8.0%	$-4.35	$-5.37	$-6.56	$-7.92	$-9.50
9.0%	$-3.58	$-4.43	$-5.41	$-6.55	$-7.86
10.0%	$-3.01	$-3.74	$-4.58	$-5.54	$-6.65
11.0%	$-2.58	$-3.21	$-3.94	$-4.77	$-5.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.83

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.82

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$0.96

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.60%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.60%

Cost of equity (Re)7.47%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.58 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)88.39%

Debt weight (D/V)11.61%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$0.96

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$34.65M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$0.96

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$77.98M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -0.2×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$77.84M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.96

Current Price$0.96

Upside / Downside-0.2%

Implied EV$15.99M

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