AUB-PA

AUB-PA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($24.66)
DCF$-714643968.00-2897988615.8%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$35.43+43.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 91.5% / EPS: 29.8%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-714643968.00
Current Price$24.66
Upside / Downside-2897988615.8%
Net Debt (used)$714.64M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term83.5%87.5%91.5%95.5%99.5%
7.0%$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00
8.0%$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00
9.0%$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00
10.0%$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00
11.0%$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00$-714643968.00

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: —
Yahoo: $35.31

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$24.66
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$24.66
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth91.5%
Historical Earnings Growth29.8%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.72

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$35.43
Current Price$24.66
Upside / Downside+43.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $714.64M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-714643968.00
Current Price$24.66
Upside / Downside-2897988615.8%
Implied EV$0