AUB — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($37.62)
DCF	$-5.04	-113.4%
Graham Number	$40.16	+6.8%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$29.25	-22.2%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 91.5% / EPS: 29.8%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.56%

Computed WACC: 6.56%

Cost of equity (Re)8.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.81 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)74.93%

Debt weight (D/V)25.07%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.04

Current Price$37.62

Upside / Downside-113.4%

Net Debt (used)$714.64M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	83.5%	87.5%	91.5%	95.5%	99.5%
7.0%	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04
8.0%	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04
9.0%	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04
10.0%	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04
11.0%	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04	$-5.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $2.03

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $35.31

Results

Graham Number$40.16

Current Price$37.62

Margin of Safety+6.8%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.56%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.56%

Cost of equity (Re)8.76%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.81 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)74.93%

Debt weight (D/V)25.07%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$37.62

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth91.5%

Historical Earnings Growth29.8%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.42

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.25

Current Price$37.62

Upside / Downside-22.2%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: $714.64M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-5.04

Current Price$37.62

Upside / Downside-113.4%

Implied EV$0

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