AUR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($4.75)
DCF	$-3.29	-169.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$375.12M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 17.77%

Computed WACC: 17.77%

Cost of equity (Re)17.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.10%

Debt weight (D/V)0.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.96

Current Price$4.75

Upside / Downside-120.2%

Net Debt (used)-$1.19B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-3.32	$-4.14	$-5.09	$-6.19	$-7.46
8.0%	$-2.60	$-3.26	$-4.03	$-4.91	$-5.93
9.0%	$-2.10	$-2.65	$-3.29	$-4.02	$-4.87
10.0%	$-1.74	$-2.20	$-2.75	$-3.37	$-4.09
11.0%	$-1.46	$-1.86	$-2.33	$-2.87	$-3.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.44

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.10

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$4.75

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 17.77%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 17.77%

Cost of equity (Re)17.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.10%

Debt weight (D/V)0.90%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$4.75

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$375.12M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$4.75

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$871.00M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -9.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$1.19B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.64

Current Price$4.75

Upside / Downside+18.8%

Implied EV$8.06B

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