AUTL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.64)
DCF	$-17.50	-1167.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$267.75M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.72%

Computed WACC: 9.72%

Cost of equity (Re)15.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.00 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)2.86%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)57.31%

Debt weight (D/V)42.69%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-15.72

Current Price$1.64

Upside / Downside-1058.7%

Net Debt (used)-$42.23M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-17.66	$-21.26	$-25.45	$-30.30	$-35.89
8.0%	$-14.49	$-17.39	$-20.75	$-24.65	$-29.12
9.0%	$-12.29	$-14.70	$-17.50	$-20.74	$-24.45
10.0%	$-10.68	$-12.74	$-15.12	$-17.87	$-21.03
11.0%	$-9.44	$-11.23	$-13.30	$-15.68	$-18.41

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.83

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.00

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.64

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.72%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.72%

Cost of equity (Re)15.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.00 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)2.86%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)57.31%

Debt weight (D/V)42.69%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.64

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$267.75M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.64

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$264.68M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -1.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$42.23M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.67

Current Price$1.64

Upside / Downside+1.8%

Implied EV$402.31M

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