AVAH

AVAH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.42)
DCF$10.98+48.0%
Graham Number$0.63-91.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 18.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$7.42-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $77.30M
Rev: 22.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 12.72%
Computed WACC: 12.72%
Cost of equity (Re)15.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.08 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.65%
Debt weight (D/V)49.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3.70
Current Price$7.42
Upside / Downside-50.2%
Net Debt (used)$1.36B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term14.2%18.2%22.2%26.2%30.2%
7.0%$12.72$16.16$20.10$24.57$29.63
8.0%$8.86$11.58$14.69$18.22$22.22
9.0%$6.21$8.44$10.98$13.87$17.13
10.0%$4.28$6.15$8.28$10.70$13.43
11.0%$2.82$4.42$6.24$8.30$10.63

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.37
Yahoo: $0.05

Results

Graham Number$0.63
Current Price$7.42
Margin of Safety-91.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.72%
Computed WACC: 12.72%
Cost of equity (Re)15.71%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.08 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.20%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)50.65%
Debt weight (D/V)49.35%

Results

Current Price$7.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth28.2%
Historical Revenue Growth22.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$77.30M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$7.42
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $266.42M
Current: 10.9×
Default: $1.36B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.42
Current Price$7.42
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$2.91B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.36B$1.36B$1.36B$1.36B$1.36B
6.9x$2.32$2.32$2.32$2.32$2.32
8.9x$4.87$4.87$4.87$4.87$4.87
10.9x$7.42$7.42$7.42$7.42$7.42
12.9x$9.97$9.97$9.97$9.97$9.97
14.9x$12.52$12.52$12.52$12.52$12.52