AVK

AVK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.52)
DCF$5383.33+42897.8%
Graham Number$28.46+127.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 37.6%
DDM$29.05+132.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $8.25M
Rev: 8.1% / EPS: 176.1%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$5376.39
Current Price$12.52
Upside / Downside+42842.4%
Net Debt (used)$350.02M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term168.1%172.1%176.1%180.1%184.1%
7.0%$7736.33$8331.25$8962.19$9630.75$10338.60
8.0%$5889.51$6342.49$6822.90$7331.95$7870.91
9.0%$4640.75$4997.76$5376.39$5777.58$6202.35
10.0%$3748.51$4036.95$4342.85$4666.99$5010.17
11.0%$3085.10$3322.57$3574.40$3841.25$4123.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.69
Yahoo: $13.39

Results

Graham Number$28.46
Current Price$12.52
Margin of Safety+127.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$12.52
Implied Near-term FCF Growth37.6%
Historical Revenue Growth8.1%
Historical Earnings Growth176.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$8.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.41

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.05
Current Price$12.52
Upside / Downside+132.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $350.02M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-7.93
Current Price$12.52
Upside / Downside-163.3%
Implied EV$0