AVNT

AVNT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($40.88)
DCF$47.94+17.3%
Graham Number$22.78-44.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.0%
DDM$22.45-45.1%
EV/EBITDA$41.01+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $335.05M
Rev: 1.9% / EPS: -65.3%
Computed: 7.81%
Computed WACC: 7.81%
Cost of equity (Re)11.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.19%
Debt weight (D/V)34.81%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$62.50
Current Price$40.88
Upside / Downside+52.9%
Net Debt (used)$1.49B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$48.49$61.58$76.82$94.45$114.75
8.0%$36.97$47.51$59.75$73.90$90.18
9.0%$28.98$37.76$47.94$59.69$73.19
10.0%$23.12$30.61$39.28$49.28$60.75
11.0%$18.64$25.14$32.66$41.32$51.25

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.89
Yahoo: $25.92

Results

Graham Number$22.78
Current Price$40.88
Margin of Safety-44.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.81%
Computed WACC: 7.81%
Cost of equity (Re)11.98%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)65.19%
Debt weight (D/V)34.81%

Results

Current Price$40.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-0.3%
Historical Revenue Growth1.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-65.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$335.05M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.09

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$22.45
Current Price$40.88
Upside / Downside-45.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $543.10M
Current: 9.7×
Default: $1.49B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$41.01
Current Price$40.88
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$5.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.49B$1.49B$1.49B$1.49B$1.49B
5.7x$17.30$17.30$17.30$17.30$17.30
7.7x$29.16$29.16$29.16$29.16$29.16
9.7x$41.01$41.01$41.01$41.01$41.01
11.7x$52.86$52.86$52.86$52.86$52.86
13.7x$64.72$64.72$64.72$64.72$64.72