AVR

AVR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.62)
DCF$-7.92-219.6%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$44.25M
Rev: -42.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.58%
Computed WACC: 6.58%
Cost of equity (Re)6.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.65%
Debt weight (D/V)0.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-12.74
Current Price$6.62
Upside / Downside-292.4%
Net Debt (used)-$9.79M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-7.99$-9.63$-11.53$-13.73$-16.27
8.0%$-6.55$-7.87$-9.40$-11.16$-13.20
9.0%$-5.55$-6.65$-7.92$-9.39$-11.08
10.0%$-4.82$-5.76$-6.84$-8.09$-9.52
11.0%$-4.26$-5.07$-6.01$-7.09$-8.33

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-2.60
Yahoo: $-0.00

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$6.62
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.58%
Computed WACC: 6.58%
Cost of equity (Re)6.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.42 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.65%
Debt weight (D/V)0.35%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$6.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-42.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$44.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$6.62
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$92.23M
Current: -6.9×
Default: -$9.79M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.64
Current Price$6.62
Upside / Downside+0.4%
Implied EV$633.73M