AVT

AVT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($64.98)
DCF$0.01-100.0%
Graham Number$57.96-10.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 30.2%
DDM$28.43-56.3%
EV/EBITDA$64.98-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $111.69M
Rev: 11.6% / EPS: -24.2%
Computed: 5.92%
Computed WACC: 5.92%
Cost of equity (Re)9.45%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.68%
Debt weight (D/V)37.32%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$34.43
Current Price$64.98
Upside / Downside-47.0%
Net Debt (used)$2.88B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.6%7.6%11.6%15.6%19.6%
7.0%$1.61$8.73$16.96$26.40$37.21
8.0%$-5.32$0.37$6.93$14.46$23.06
9.0%$-10.10$-5.40$0.01$6.22$13.31
10.0%$-13.59$-9.61$-5.03$0.21$6.20
11.0%$-16.26$-12.82$-8.88$-4.36$0.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.46
Yahoo: $60.70

Results

Graham Number$57.96
Current Price$64.98
Margin of Safety-10.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.92%
Computed WACC: 5.92%
Cost of equity (Re)9.45%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.94 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)62.68%
Debt weight (D/V)37.32%

Results

Current Price$64.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.5%
Historical Revenue Growth11.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-24.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$111.69M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.38

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.43
Current Price$64.98
Upside / Downside-56.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $696.24M
Current: 11.8×
Default: $2.88B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$64.98
Current Price$64.98
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$8.20B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$880.83M$1.88B$2.88B$3.88B$4.88B
7.8x$55.39$43.18$30.96$18.74$6.53
9.8x$72.40$60.19$47.97$35.75$23.54
11.8x$89.41$77.20$64.98$52.76$40.55
13.8x$106.42$94.21$81.99$69.77$57.56
15.8x$123.43$111.22$99.00$86.78$74.57