AWI

AWI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($171.99)
DCF$95.02-44.8%
Graham Number$57.86-66.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.4%
DDM$26.57-84.5%
EV/EBITDA$171.99+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $228.29M
Rev: 5.6% / EPS: 6.8%
Computed: 11.26%
Computed WACC: 11.26%
Cost of equity (Re)11.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.73%
Debt weight (D/V)6.27%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$67.41
Current Price$171.99
Upside / Downside-60.8%
Net Debt (used)$383.80M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.2%2.8%6.8%10.8%14.8%
7.0%$96.98$118.16$142.74$171.14$203.78
8.0%$77.81$94.81$114.53$137.27$163.38
9.0%$64.54$78.67$95.02$113.87$135.48
10.0%$54.81$66.83$80.74$96.74$115.08
11.0%$47.37$57.80$69.84$83.67$99.51

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.09
Yahoo: $20.99

Results

Graham Number$57.86
Current Price$171.99
Margin of Safety-66.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.26%
Computed WACC: 11.26%
Cost of equity (Re)11.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.34%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.73%
Debt weight (D/V)6.27%

Results

Current Price$171.99
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.6%
Historical Revenue Growth5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth6.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$228.29M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.29

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$26.57
Current Price$171.99
Upside / Downside-84.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $440.90M
Current: 17.6×
Default: $383.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$171.99
Current Price$171.99
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$7.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.62B-$616.20M$383.80M$1.38B$2.38B
13.6x$177.51$154.17$130.82$107.48$84.13
15.6x$198.10$174.75$151.41$128.06$104.72
17.6x$218.69$195.34$171.99$148.65$125.30
19.6x$239.27$215.93$192.58$169.24$145.89
21.6x$259.86$236.51$213.17$189.82$166.48