AWP

AWP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.56)
DCF$26.04+107.3%
Graham Number$7.33-41.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 32.9%
DDM$29.66+136.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.77M
Rev: 46.1% / EPS: -67.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$26.09
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside+107.7%
Net Debt (used)$30.74M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term38.1%42.1%46.1%50.1%54.1%
7.0%$31.44$36.34$41.81$47.92$54.70
8.0%$24.39$28.20$32.47$37.22$42.50
9.0%$19.57$22.65$26.09$29.92$34.17
10.0%$16.09$18.63$21.48$24.64$28.16
11.0%$13.47$15.62$18.01$20.68$23.64

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.21
Yahoo: $11.37

Results

Graham Number$7.33
Current Price$12.56
Margin of Safety-41.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$12.56
Implied Near-term FCF Growth32.9%
Historical Revenue Growth46.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-67.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$4.77M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside+136.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $30.74M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-1.03
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside-108.2%
Implied EV$0