AWX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($2.58)
DCF	$-0.31	-111.8%
Graham Number	$2.99	+15.9%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 11.0%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$2.65	+2.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $1.54M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 6.2% / EPS: 3.4%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 1.82%

Computed WACC: 1.82%

Cost of equity (Re)8.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)22.50%

Debt weight (D/V)77.50%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.58

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)$30.10M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-1.8%	2.2%	6.2%	10.2%	14.2%
7.0%	$-0.17	$1.64	$3.73	$6.15	$8.94
8.0%	$-1.79	$-0.34	$1.34	$3.29	$5.52
9.0%	$-2.91	$-1.70	$-0.31	$1.30	$3.15
10.0%	$-3.73	$-2.70	$-1.51	$-0.15	$1.42
11.0%	$-4.36	$-3.47	$-2.44	$-1.25	$0.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.04

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $9.93

Results

Graham Number$2.99

Current Price$2.58

Margin of Safety+15.9%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 1.82%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 1.82%

Cost of equity (Re)8.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)22.50%

Debt weight (D/V)77.50%

Results

Current Price$2.58

Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%

Historical Revenue Growth6.2%

Historical Earnings Growth3.4%

Base FCF (TTM)$1.54M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.58

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $5.63M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 6.9×

Net Debt($B)Default: $30.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.65

Current Price$2.58

Upside / Downside+2.7%

Implied EV$38.82M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$1.97B	-$969.90M	$30.10M	$1.03B	$2.03B
2.9x	$604.14	$299.97	$-4.20	$-308.37	$-612.53
4.9x	$607.56	$303.40	$-0.77	$-304.94	$-609.11
6.9x	$610.99	$306.82	$2.65	$-301.52	$-605.69
8.9x	$614.41	$310.24	$6.07	$-298.09	$-602.26
10.9x	$617.84	$313.67	$9.50	$-294.67	$-598.84

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