AX

AX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($89.97)
DCF$-4.75-105.3%
Graham Number$95.74+6.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 21.8% / EPS: 23.3%
Computed: 9.08%
Computed WACC: 9.08%
Cost of equity (Re)11.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.70%
Debt weight (D/V)20.30%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4.75
Current Price$89.97
Upside / Downside-105.3%
Net Debt (used)$269.13M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term15.3%19.3%23.3%27.3%31.3%
7.0%$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75
8.0%$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75
9.0%$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75
10.0%$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75
11.0%$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75$-4.75

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.88
Yahoo: $51.70

Results

Graham Number$95.74
Current Price$89.97
Margin of Safety+6.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.08%
Computed WACC: 9.08%
Cost of equity (Re)11.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.29 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)79.70%
Debt weight (D/V)20.30%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$89.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth21.8%
Historical Earnings Growth23.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$89.97
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $269.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-4.75
Current Price$89.97
Upside / Downside-105.3%
Implied EV$0