AXGN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($30.65)
DCF	$2.61	-91.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 65.5%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $3.58M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 21.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.47%

Computed WACC: 9.47%

Cost of equity (Re)9.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.56%

Debt weight (D/V)4.44%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2.36

Current Price$30.65

Upside / Downside-92.3%

Net Debt (used)$29.99M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	13.3%	17.3%	21.3%	25.3%	29.3%
7.0%	$2.92	$3.55	$4.28	$5.11	$6.04
8.0%	$2.22	$2.72	$3.29	$3.94	$4.68
9.0%	$1.73	$2.14	$2.61	$3.15	$3.75
10.0%	$1.38	$1.73	$2.12	$2.57	$3.07
11.0%	$1.12	$1.41	$1.75	$2.13	$2.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.05

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $2.73

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$30.65

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.47%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.47%

Cost of equity (Re)9.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.56%

Debt weight (D/V)4.44%

Results

Current Price$30.65

Implied Near-term FCF Growth67.5%

Historical Revenue Growth21.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$3.58M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$30.65

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$874,000

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -1854.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: $29.99M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$31.71

Current Price$30.65

Upside / Downside+3.4%

Implied EV$1.62B

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