AXIA

AXIA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.04)
DCF$-34.20-384.1%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$10.92-9.3%
EV/EBITDA$14.21+18.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$963.04M
Rev: -9.4% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-34.20
Current Price$12.04
Upside / Downside-384.1%
Net Debt (used)$50.67B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-34.28$-36.02$-38.05$-40.40$-43.11
8.0%$-32.74$-34.15$-35.78$-37.67$-39.84
9.0%$-31.68$-32.85$-34.20$-35.77$-37.57
10.0%$-30.90$-31.89$-33.05$-34.38$-35.91
11.0%$-30.30$-31.17$-32.17$-33.32$-34.65

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.54
Yahoo: $13.34

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$12.04
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$12.04
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-9.4%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$963.04M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.53

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$10.92
Current Price$12.04
Upside / Downside-9.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.07B
Current: 73.5×
Default: $50.67B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.21
Current Price$12.04
Upside / Downside+18.0%
Implied EV$78.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$24.67B$37.67B$50.67B$63.67B$76.67B
69.5x$25.20$18.62$12.04$5.46$-1.12
71.5x$26.29$19.71$13.13$6.55$-0.03
73.5x$27.37$20.79$14.21$7.63$1.05
75.5x$28.45$21.87$15.30$8.72$2.14
77.5x$29.54$22.96$16.38$9.80$3.22