AXIL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($7.33)
DCF	$0.08	-98.9%
Graham Number	$2.50	-65.9%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$6.80	-7.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$134,562

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 5.2% / EPS: 12.5%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 4.31%

Computed WACC: 4.31%

Cost of equity (Re)4.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.01 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.44%

Debt weight (D/V)1.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.46

Current Price$7.33

Upside / Downside-119.9%

Net Debt (used)-$4.19M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	4.5%	8.5%	12.5%	16.5%	20.5%
7.0%	$0.05	$-0.06	$-0.18	$-0.33	$-0.49
8.0%	$0.16	$0.07	$-0.03	$-0.14	$-0.28
9.0%	$0.23	$0.16	$0.08	$-0.02	$-0.13
10.0%	$0.28	$0.22	$0.15	$0.07	$-0.02
11.0%	$0.33	$0.27	$0.21	$0.15	$0.07

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.17

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.63

Results

Graham Number$2.50

Current Price$7.33

Margin of Safety-65.9%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 4.31%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 4.31%

Cost of equity (Re)4.38%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.01 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.44%

Debt weight (D/V)1.56%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$7.33

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth5.2%

Historical Earnings Growth12.5%

Base FCF (TTM)-$134,562

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$7.33

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $2.17M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 19.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$4.19M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.80

Current Price$7.33

Upside / Downside-7.3%

Implied EV$42.04M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.00B	-$1.00B	-$4.19M	$995.81M	$2.00B
15.3x	$299.52	$152.52	$5.52	$-141.48	$-288.48
17.3x	$300.16	$153.16	$6.16	$-140.84	$-287.84
19.3x	$300.80	$153.80	$6.80	$-140.20	$-287.20
21.3x	$301.43	$154.43	$7.43	$-139.57	$-286.57
23.3x	$302.07	$155.07	$8.07	$-138.93	$-285.93

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