AXS-PE

AXS-PE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.39)
DCF$-5752.48-28312.2%
Graham Number$112.54+451.9%
Reverse DCF
DDM$28.43+39.4%
EV/EBITDA$24.62+20.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$13.03B
Rev: 17.8% / EPS: 8.6%
Computed: 6.63%
Computed WACC: 6.63%
Cost of equity (Re)7.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.46%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.04%
Debt weight (D/V)26.96%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9512.05
Current Price$20.39
Upside / Downside-46750.6%
Net Debt (used)$652.64M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term9.8%13.8%17.8%21.8%25.8%
7.0%$-6199.22$-7345.52$-8659.99$-10160.73$-11867.10
8.0%$-4985.32$-5895.05$-6937.36$-8126.48$-9477.61
9.0%$-4149.80$-4897.05$-5752.48$-6727.63$-7834.89
10.0%$-3540.97$-4170.12$-4889.72$-5709.41$-6639.48
11.0%$-3078.56$-3618.25$-4234.99$-4936.97$-5732.92

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.19
Yahoo: $78.32

Results

Graham Number$112.54
Current Price$20.39
Margin of Safety+451.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.63%
Computed WACC: 6.63%
Cost of equity (Re)7.78%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.46%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.04%
Debt weight (D/V)26.96%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$20.39
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth17.8%
Historical Earnings Growth8.6%
Base FCF (TTM)-$13.03B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.38

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.43
Current Price$20.39
Upside / Downside+39.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.48B
Current: 1.8×
Default: $652.64M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.62
Current Price$20.39
Upside / Downside+20.8%
Implied EV$2.71B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.35B-$347.36M$652.64M$1.65B$2.65B
-2.2x$-22.34$-34.30$-46.27$-58.23$-70.19
-0.2x$13.11$1.14$-10.82$-22.79$-34.75
1.8x$48.55$36.59$24.62$12.66$0.69
3.8x$84.00$72.03$60.07$48.10$36.14
5.8x$119.44$107.48$95.51$83.55$71.58