AZN

AZN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($200.19)
DCF$1256.94+527.9%
Graham Number$67.95-66.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.3%
DDM$65.92-67.1%
EV/EBITDA$203.85+1.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.87B
Rev: 4.1% / EPS: 53.9%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1259.14
Current Price$200.19
Upside / Downside+529.0%
Net Debt (used)$23.98B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term45.9%49.9%53.9%57.9%61.9%
7.0%$1544.20$1767.09$2014.89$2289.64$2593.50
8.0%$1199.98$1373.08$1565.50$1778.81$2014.67
9.0%$965.28$1104.46$1259.14$1430.58$1620.11
10.0%$796.04$910.77$1038.25$1179.52$1335.67
11.0%$668.95$765.33$872.40$991.03$1122.13

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.54
Yahoo: $31.38

Results

Graham Number$67.95
Current Price$200.19
Margin of Safety-66.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$200.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth20.3%
Historical Revenue Growth4.1%
Historical Earnings Growth53.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$7.87B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$65.92
Current Price$200.19
Upside / Downside-67.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $19.28B
Current: 17.6×
Default: $23.98B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$203.85
Current Price$200.19
Upside / Downside+1.8%
Implied EV$340.00B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$11.98B$17.98B$23.98B$29.98B$35.98B
13.6x$161.84$157.97$154.10$150.23$146.36
15.6x$186.71$182.84$178.97$175.10$171.23
17.6x$211.59$207.72$203.85$199.98$196.11
19.6x$236.46$232.59$228.72$224.85$220.98
21.6x$261.33$257.46$253.59$249.72$245.85