AZZ

AZZ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($131.49)
DCF$222.42+69.2%
Graham Number$102.90-21.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.1%
DDM$15.86-87.9%
EV/EBITDA$134.52+2.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $159.60M
Rev: 5.5% / EPS: 21.4%
Computed: 10.08%
Computed WACC: 10.08%
Cost of equity (Re)10.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.01%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.42%
Debt weight (D/V)12.58%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$182.80
Current Price$131.49
Upside / Downside+39.0%
Net Debt (used)$568.03M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.4%17.4%21.4%25.4%29.4%
7.0%$245.49$293.19$347.69$409.69$479.95
8.0%$192.61$230.35$273.43$322.42$377.90
9.0%$156.26$187.17$222.42$262.48$307.82
10.0%$129.82$155.76$185.33$218.91$256.90
11.0%$109.77$131.96$157.23$185.91$218.33

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $10.65
Yahoo: $44.19

Results

Graham Number$102.90
Current Price$131.49
Margin of Safety-21.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.08%
Computed WACC: 10.08%
Cost of equity (Re)10.50%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.01%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.42%
Debt weight (D/V)12.58%

Results

Current Price$131.49
Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.1%
Historical Revenue Growth5.5%
Historical Earnings Growth21.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$159.60M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.77

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.86
Current Price$131.49
Upside / Downside-87.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $346.79M
Current: 13.2×
Default: $568.03M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$134.52
Current Price$131.49
Upside / Downside+2.3%
Implied EV$4.58B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.43B-$431.97M$568.03M$1.57B$2.57B
9.2x$155.05$121.55$88.06$54.56$21.07
11.2x$178.28$144.78$111.29$77.79$44.30
13.2x$201.51$168.01$134.52$101.03$67.53
15.2x$224.74$191.24$157.75$124.26$90.76
17.2x$247.97$214.48$180.98$147.49$113.99