BALL

BALL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($66.42)
DCF$87.89+32.3%
Graham Number$38.95-41.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.5%
DDM$16.48-75.2%
EV/EBITDA$65.95-0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $883.50M
Rev: 16.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 8.74%
Computed WACC: 8.74%
Cost of equity (Re)10.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.41%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.03%
Debt weight (D/V)28.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$93.05
Current Price$66.42
Upside / Downside+40.1%
Net Debt (used)$6.16B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term8.2%12.2%16.2%20.2%24.2%
7.0%$95.61$117.82$143.33$172.50$205.73
8.0%$72.58$90.23$110.49$133.64$159.98
9.0%$56.71$71.24$87.89$106.89$128.51
10.0%$45.15$57.39$71.42$87.42$105.59
11.0%$36.35$46.87$58.91$72.63$88.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.30
Yahoo: $20.43

Results

Graham Number$38.95
Current Price$66.42
Margin of Safety-41.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.74%
Computed WACC: 8.74%
Cost of equity (Re)10.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.41%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.03%
Debt weight (D/V)28.97%

Results

Current Price$66.42
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.7%
Historical Revenue Growth16.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$883.50M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$16.48
Current Price$66.42
Upside / Downside-75.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.01B
Current: 11.8×
Default: $6.16B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$65.95
Current Price$66.42
Upside / Downside-0.7%
Implied EV$23.83B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.16B$4.16B$6.16B$8.16B$10.16B
7.8x$50.84$43.38$35.92$28.45$20.99
9.8x$65.86$58.40$50.93$43.47$36.01
11.8x$80.87$73.41$65.95$58.48$51.02
13.8x$95.89$88.43$80.96$73.50$66.04
15.8x$110.91$103.44$95.98$88.52$81.05